Dang, I wasted my money

I spent twenty bucks on the 6666 Ice, 8 Keys package, hoping to get the new Reza and Gwen skins.
I bought the “Red Lantern Chest” 26 times, but only got Gwen in the last 5.
I really feel like the chance of drawing either of the skins isn’t 10%.
This feels too unlucky for me.

1 Like

I got Gwen on my 6th chest. You just got unlucky. Happens. That Ice package was a good deal though.

1 Like

Oof 6k is not worth that’s why I stopped after 3 chest I’ll get her with opals

1 Like

Are you saying that you got Gwen on the fifth to last chest out of 26 total chests? Cause that “in the last 5” wording sounds weird and a little vague.

1 Like

Never spend a lot of ice on an rng box.
Never! When you can straight up buy skins with the amount of Ice you have that is much better.

It took me 3 draws to get it.

1 Like

Yeah, it was actually the last 5 in the pool of 26.
The 21st chest.

1 Like

I considered that. I’ll probably do that, if there is a next time.

1 Like

The quadruple ice deals are worth it… I usually buy those.

1 Like

A better way to think of these percentages when you’re paying for randomized / loot-box style items is the percentage in which you’re unlikely to receive something, rather than focus on the percentage that you might get something.

That’s 26 chests you had a 90% chance of not acquiring those skins.

2 Likes

Similar thing happened to me. I bought the mages talent chest deal with 5% chance to get a legendary talent. Opened 78 chests and got only 1 legendary talent for skaarf… 5% means every 20 box should drop a legendary so i should have earned 3 coins. They just deceive us by taking our money and not giving the descripted content.

1 Like

That’s not how probability works …

To calculate your chance of getting a particular drop from a chest, if the drop rate (x) is 5% and you bought 20 chests (y):

1 - (( 1 - x ) ^ y ) = 1 - (( 1 - 0.05 ) ^ 20 ) = 64.1% chance of success
4 Likes

It is how the mind works and here lies the advertising trick. People use their own logic instead of math.

The problem is there is an infinite amount of boxes available unlike our beloved lost old style card box with a fixed number of cards inside.

You could rely on those. If you were a spender you could draw until you had a guaranteed pull

People actually buy talent boxes?
For real? Why???

2 Likes

People actually ask questions like that? For real? Why???

1 Like

It’s a legit question why waste money on a broken game mode? It’s an uneven platform where people with certain talents win.

1 Like

Just because some people like you dont like talents others like me may find them fun. I prefer brawl modes and I like abuse talents. So simple. Also I have lot of money to spend on games so why not?

I think Blitz is my favorite mode in the game. I haven’t bought anything from the store, but to tell someone they are crazy for spending money on content they enjoy is just rude.

As for loot boxes and percentages…from my understanding, and feel free to correct me if I am wrong, but my understanding is percentages are based on 100%. So, if you have a 25% chance out of 100%, it would be 1 in 4.

However, loot boxes are infinite. You can buy 100 boxes, but there isn’t a set amount to how many you can buy.

Also, there very well could be 1 legendary whatever per 100 boxes…but you happened to purchase the 101th box. I honestly don’t think it depends on how many YOU purchased, but how many ARE purchased.

This is my theory, and if there is evidence suggesting otherwise, or I am mis-informed, please enlighten me. I am F2P in all my games because if I wanted to gamble, I’d go to a casino. Also, I’m a masochist and enjoy the struggle.

As for talents…the other day I ran into an enemy Celeste who abused her Galaxy Collapse talent. I used that against her: run toward her, drop a star, and wait for her to drop a collapse, run just out of range and supernova the star I dropped earlier.

Just because players abuse talents, or buy up talents doesn’t necessarily mean they know that hero well. The enemy Celeste kept using Collapse…every once in a while she’d drop stars, but her collapses were predictable and easy to avoid.

3 Likes

I got RL Gwen on the first try but couldn’t get Vox on Ice in 20 tries :cry:

image

3 Likes

Cue X-Files theme song

30 characters

2 Likes